Methodology

Predict each match first. Build the table from there.

StatNexo predictions are model outputs, not certainties. The goal is to expose the logic clearly enough that better football knowledge can improve it.

1

Team strength

Historical performance, recent form, squad profile and competition context.

2

Lineup projections

Projected starters, formations and player roles used to estimate how teams may actually play.

3

Tactical context

Formation shape, player roles and matchup dynamics that explain pressure points.

4

Tournament simulation

Group tables and knockout paths calculated from the individual match predictions.

Important principle

No post-hoc table fixing.

If a table looks surprising, StatNexo treats that as a match-level modeling question. The answer should come from better inputs, not from forcing the final standings to feel normal.

A

Predict the fixture

Scoreline, match events and team output are created fixture by fixture.

B

Aggregate the table

Points, goals, goal difference and qualification paths come directly from match rows.

C

Improve the cause

Wrong-looking results point back to team strength, lineup, tactics or scoring logic.